Prerecorded Talks

José Carlos Araujo-Acuna (Lausanne): Tempered Pareto-type modelling using Weibull distributions

Dan Goreac (Paris): The Lokka-Zervos Alternative for Standard Cramér-Lundberg Setting

Nabil Kazi-Tani (Lyon): Laplacian Spectra of Graphs and Cyber-Insurance Demand

Ronnie Loeffen (Manchester): Optimal switching between two spectrally negative Lévy processes to minimise ruin probability

Max Nendel (Bielefeld): A decomposition of general premium principles into risk and deviation

Tomer Shushi (Negev): Multivariate risk measures based on conditional tail moments for elliptical loss distributions

Léonard Vincent (Lausanne): Relative Market Performance and Indexed Reinsurance

Alex Watson (London): Risk processes with tax

Jorge Yslas (Copenhagen): Fitting inhomogeneous phase-type distributions to data

Lanrewaju Adekola (Ota): Crossover Analysis of major Cash Crop production in West Africa: Post COVID-19 pandemic in view

Pooja Agarwal (Brown): Invariant states of hydrodynamic limits of randomized load balancing networks

Nofiu Idowu Badmus (Akoka): Weibull-extended Pranav distribution: Applications to lifetime data sets

Miheer Dewaskar (Chapel Hill): Near equilibrium fluctuations for supermarket models with growing choices

Matthew Ekum (Lagos): T-Power Function Distribution and its Application to Modelling COVID-19 Pandemic Recovery Rate

Afshin Fallah (Qazvin): Accuracy of Linear-Moments Approximation for Spectral Risk Measures in Heavy Tail Distributions

Vladimir Fomichov (Aarhuis): Transient reflecting processes in a quadrant

Yingjia Fu (San Diego): Stability of a Subcritical Fluid Model for Fair Bandwidth Sharing with General File Size Distributions

Kais Hamza (Melbourne): Matching marginals and sums

Hui He (Beijing): Some properties of stationary continuous state branching processes

Emma Horton (Nancy): Stochastic models for the Neutron Transport Equation

Benedikt Jahnel (Berlin): Phase transitions for the Boolean model for Cox point processes

Abhishek Pal Majumder (Singapore): Exact long time behavior of some regime switching stochastic processes

Oliver Matheau-Raven (York): Cutoff for a One-sided Transposition Shuffle

Nikita Merkulov (Leeds): On the value of non-Markovian Dynkin games with partial and asymmetric information

Teppei Ogihara (Tokyo): Malliavin Calculus Techniques for Local Asymptotic Mixed Normality and Their Application to Degenerate Diffusions

Vincent Plassier (Paris): Risk bounds when learning infinitely many response functions by ordinary linear regression

Romadhon Ariful (Jakarta) & Suryo Rakhmawan (Jakarta): Determining Individual and Contextual Factors for Elderly to Work in Indonesia

Vadim Shcherbakov (London): Spread of infection on homogeneous tree

Stanislav Volkov (Lund): Long term behaviour of linear competition processes

Krzysztof Szajowski (Wrocław): Drivers' skills and behavior vs. traffic at intersections

Gerónimo Uribe Bravo (Mexico City): Geometrically Convergent Simulation of the Extrema of Lévy Processes

Jie Xiong (Shenzhen): Backward doubly stochastic Volterra integral equations and their applications

Wei Xu (Berlin): Asymptotic Results for Heavy-tailed Lévy Processes and their Exponential Functionals

Xu Yang (Minzu): SPDEs with non-Lipschitz coefficients and nonhomogeneous boundary conditions

Xiaowen Zhou (Montreal): The explosion of a class of continuous-state nonlinear branching processes

Filippo Ascolani (Milan): Predictive inference with Fleming–Viot-driven dependent Dirichlet processes

Chris Carmona (Oxford): Scalable Modularised Bayesian Inference with Normalising Flows

Marta Catalano (Milan): Measuring dependence in the Wasserstein distance for Bayesian Nonparametric models

Han Cheng Lie (Potsdam): Random forward models and log-likelihoods in Bayesian inverse problems

Michael Evans (Toronto): Measuring and Controlling Bias for Some Bayesian Inferences and the Relation to Frequentist Criteria

Augusto Fasano (Milan): Scalable and Accurate Variational Bayes for High-Dimensional Binary Regression Models

Satyajit Ghosh (Rutgers): Strong selection consistency of Bayesian vector autogressive models based on a pseudo-likelihood approach

Amine Hadji (Leiden): Distributed Bayesian regression: contraction rates & uncertainty quantification

Sirio Legramanti (Milan): Extended stochastic block models

Takeru Matsuda (Riken): Matrix superharmonic priors for Bayes estimation under matrix quadratic loss

Renate Meyer (Auckland): Generalization of the Whittle likelihood for Bayesian nonparametric spectral density estimation

Inass Sekkat (Pairs): Removing the mini-batching error in Bayesian inference using Adaptive Langevin dynamics

Deborah Sulem (Oxford): Bayesian estimation of nonlinear Hawkes processes

Xiaojing Wang (Storrs): Bayesian joint item response model of multidimensional response data with applicatino to computerized testing

Romain Abraham (Orléans): Local limits of expanding Galton-Watson trees

Osvaldo Angtuncio Hernández (Mexico City): On multiple random forests with a given degree sequence

Antar Bandyopadhyay (Delhi): A Last Progeny Modified Branching Random Walk

Vincent Bansaye (Paris): Scaling limits of bisexual Galton Watson processes

Julien Berestycki (Oxford) & James Nolen (Duke) & Sarah Penington (Bath): Brownian bees in the infinite swarm limit

Sergey Bocharov (Zhejiang): Rightmost particle in catalytic branching Brownian motion

Natalia Cardona-Tobón (Guanajuato): Yaglom's limit for critical Galton-Watson processes in varying environment: A probabilistic approach

Radu Dascaliuc (Corvallis): Explosion in branchings processes and its connection to uniqueness problems in non-linear PDE: a case study of a simple mean-field model of Navier-Stokes Equation

Thomas Duquesne (Paris): Scaling limits of tree-valued branching random walks

Piotr Dyszewski (Munich): Branching random walks, stretched exponential tails and Gumbel distribution

Janos Englander (Boulder): Superdiffusions with super-exponential growth

Vladimir Fomichov: Limit theorems for the number of clusters of coalescing Brownian motions

Clément Foucart (Paris): Coalescences in Continuous-State Branching Processes

Nic Freeman (Sheffield): Extensive condensation in preferential attachment with choice

Adrian Gonzalez Casanova (Mexico City): From continuous state branching processes to coalescents.

Jesse Goodman (Auckland): Coupling branching proccesses to first passage percolation

Sophie Hautphenne (Melbourne): Inference in population-size-dependent branching processes

Ostap Hryniv (Durham): Branching random walks with immigration

Samuel Johnston (Graz): Continuous-state branching processes and Lambda coalescents

Konrad Kolesko (Gießen): Solutions to kinetic-type evolution equations: beyond the boundary case

Zenghu Li (Beijing): Bottleneck behavior of continuous-state branching processes

Jiaqi Liu (San Diego): A Yaglom type asymptotic result for subcritical branching Brownian motion with absorption

Pascal Maillard (Toulouse): On a class of interval fragmentations with interaction between the fragments

Cécile Mailler (Bath): Competing growth processes with random growth rates and random birth times

Bastien Mallein (Paris): Continuous-time version of the Derrida-Retaux process

Marcel Ortgiese (Bath): Voter models on subcritical inhomogeneous random graphs

Michel Pain (New York): Precise height asymptotics of weighted recursive and affine preferential attachment trees

Julia Palacios (Stanford): Shuffling Ancestries

Sandra Palau (Mexico City): Coalescing random walks and tightness

Juan Carlos Pardo (Guanajuato): A pathwise approach to branching processes with pairwise interactions

Lea Popovic: Protein production as a Spatial branching process

Ellen Powell (Durham): Critical Gaussian multiplicative chaos

Jason Schweinsberg (San Diego): Branching Brownian motion with an inhomogeneous branching rate

Delphin Sénizergues (Vancouver): Profile of weighted recursive trees

Anja Sturm (Göttingen): Recursive tree processes and mean-field limits of interacting particle systems

Quan Shi (Mannheim): Diffusions on a space of interval partitions: the two-parameter model

Renming Song (Urbana-Champaign): Stable central limit theorems for super OU processes

Zhenyao Sun (Haifa): Quasi-stationary distributions for subcritical superprocesses

Minmin Wang (Sussex): k-cut model for the Brownian continuum random tree

Matthias Winkel (Oxford): A two-parameter family of measure-valued diffusions with Poisson-Dirichlet stationary distributions

Anita Winter (Duisburg-Essen): Spaces of algebraic measure trees and triangulation of the circle

Marie Du Roy de Chaumaray (Rennes): Mixtue of hidden Markov models for accelerometer data

David Han (San Antonio): Augmented Finite Weakest-Link Load-Sharing Model and Its Application to Explain the Physical Failure Process of a High-K Gate Dielectrics of a Semiconductor

Emmanouil-Nektarios Kalligeris (Samos): A Changepoint Approach for the Modeling of Time-Series Incidence Data

Suryo Rakhmawan (Jakarta): Construction of children social vulnerability index in Indonesia: The case of Covid-19

Stanislav Anatolyev (Prague): Shrinkage for Gaussian and t Copulas in Ultra-High Dimensions

Phillip Awodutire (Toru Orua): Statistical Properties and Applications of the Exponentiated Chen-G family of Distribution

Wenyu Chen (Boston): Multivariate Convex Regression at Scale

Richard Everitt (Warwick): Rare event ABC-SMC^2

Paul Kabaila (Melbourne): Finite sample properties of confidence intervals centered on a model averaged estimator

Mateusz Majka (Edinburgh): Multi-index Antithetic Stochastic Gradient Algorithm

Shuhei Mano (Tokyo): An algorithm for direct sampling from toric models with computational algebra

Gonzalo Mena (Oxford): Sinkhorn EM: An Expectation-Maximization algorithm based on entropic optimal transport

Viacheslav Natarovskii (Göttingen): Wasserstein contraction and spectral gap of simple slice sampling

Alex Rodrigo dos Santos Sousa (São Paulo): Model selection criteria for regression models with splines and the automatic localization of knots

Florian Schaefer (Pasadena): Sparse Cholesky factorization by Kullback Leibler- minimization

Philipp Schmocker (St. Gallen): Universal Approximation on Path Spaces

Julia Schulte (Zürich): Reconstruction of convex bodies from moments

Marianna Szabó (Debrecen): Calibration of wind speed ensemble forecasts using truncated GEV based EMOS approach

Guanyang Wang (New Brunswick): A fast MCMC algorithm for the uniform sampling of binary matrices with fixed margins

Alex Wein (New York): The power of low-degree polynomials for solving statistical problems

Yuming Zhang (Geneva): Targeted Bias Correction for Parametric Models

Kailun Zhu (Delft): Construction of vine structures through vine binomial tree

Robert Adamek (Maastricht): Lasso Inference for High-Dimensional Time Series

Mohammad Arashi (Shahrood): High-dimensional semiparametric modeling for longitudinal data

Andreas Artemiou (Cardiff): Real time sufficient dimension reduction

Michael Casey: Linear Dimension Reduction Approximately Preserving a Function of the 1-Norm

Michael Celentano (Stanford): The Lasso with general Gaussian design with application to hypothesis testing

Xiongzhi Chen (Pullman): Estimating the proportion of false null hypotheses via Lebesgue-Stieltjes integral equations

Richard Gill (Leiden): Two small-data n << p case studies: hydroxycholoroquine, Marseilles and Meijel

Hussein Hazimeh & Rahul Mazumder (Boston): Sparse Regression at Scale

Susan Holmes (Stanford): Uncertainty quantification for nonlinear, nonparametric dimension reduction

David Hong (Philadelphia): Selecting meaningful principal components via random signflips

Jessie Jeng (Raleigh): Dual Control of Testing Errors in High-Dimensional Data Analysis

Eugene Katsevich (Philadelphia): A theoretical treatment of conditional independence testing under Model-X

Rémi Leluc (Paris): Control Variate Selection for Monte Carlo Integration

Debmalya Nandy (Aurora): Covariate Information Number for Feature Screening in Ultrahigh-Dimensional Supervised Problems

Mohamed Ndaoud (Los Angeles): Adaptive iterative hard thresholding in high dimensional linear regression

Mina Norouzirad (Shahrood): A Modified Selector for Multicollinear Situation

Seongoh Park (Seoul): Estimating High-dimensional Covariance and Precision Matrices under General Missing Dependence

Wojciech Rejchel (Toruń): Fast and robust procedures in high-dimensional variable selection

Geneviève Robin (Paris): Outliers Detection in Networks with Missing Links

Marcelo Ruiz (Rio Cuarto): A Stepwise Approach for High-Dimensional Gaussian Graphical Models

Won Chul Song (Milwaukee): Group feature screening procedure via SKAT

Yi Sun (Chicago): Likelihood landscape and maximum likelihood estimation for the discrete orbit recovery model

Dan Vilenchik (Negev): A Greedy Anytime Algorithm for Sparse PCA

Martin Wahl (Berlin): Information inequalities for the estimation of principal components

Wenshuo Wang (Boston): A Power Analysis of Conditional Randomization Testing and Knockoffs

Etienne Wijler (Maastricht): Sparse generalized Yule–Walker estimation for spatio-temporal models

Lu Zhang (Boston): Floodgate: Inference for Model-Free Variable Importance

Jiwei Zhao (Madison): A Nuisance-Free Inference Procedure Accounting for the Unknown Missingness Mechanism in a Linear Model

Jing Zhou (Leuven): Asymptotic efficiency of $l_1$-regularized model-averaged and composite M-estimators via approximate message passing

Márton Balázs (Bristol): Nonexistence of bi-infinite geodesics in exponential last passage percolation - a probabilistic way

Elia Bisi (Dublin): The geometric Burge correspondence and the partition function of polymer replicas

Ofer Busani (Bristol): Universality of Geodesic tree in last passage percolation

Philip Cohen (Dublin): Moments of Discrete Orthogonal Polynomial Ensembles

Sayan Das (New York): Upper-tail large deviations of the KPZ equation

Evgeni Dimitrov (New York): Characterization of Brownian Gibbsian line ensembles

Slim Kammoun (Lille): Universality for random permutations

Milind Hegde (Berkeley): Bootstrapping to optimail tail exponents in last passage percolation

Yier Lin (New York): Lyapunov exponents of the SHE for general initial data

Sergio I. López (Mexico City): Convergence of the Brownian Last Passage Percolation model

Konstantin Matetski (New York): Exactly solvable models in the KPZ universality class

Matteo Mucciconi (Tokyo): Stochastic vertex models and interlacing arrays

Tal Orenshtein (Berlin): Aging for the stationary KPZ equation

Shalin Parekh (New York): Recent progress in half-space KPZ universality

Andrei Prokhorov (Ann Arbour): On beta=6 Tracy-Widom distribution and the second Calogero-Painleve system

Mark Rychnovsky (New York): Extremal particles for sticky Brownian motions

Mark Rychnovsky (New York): GUE corners process in boundary-weighted six vertex models

Sourav Sarkar (Toronto): Brownian absolute continuity of the KPZ fixed point with arbitrary initial condition

Xiao Shen (Madison): Coalescence estimates for the corner growth model with exponential weights

Balint Veto (Budapest): Tilings of the Aztec diamond on restriced domains

Xuan Wu (Chicago): Tightness of discrete Gibbsian line ensembles

Chenyang Zhong (Stanford): Large deviation bounds for the Airy point process

Sergio Andraus (Chuo): Freezing limit theorems for interacting particle systems

Stefka Asenova (Louvain): Exceedances over a threshold in graphical models on block graphs

Frank Aurzada (Darmstadt): Breaking a chain of interacting Brownian particles

David Bang (Warwick): Asymptotic length of the concave majorant of a Lévy process

Clayton Barnes (Technion): Large-Scale behavior of systems of Brownian motion reflecting from a Newtonian barrier

Konstantin Borovkov (Melbourne): Limit theorems for record indicators in threshold F^α-schemes

Zaoli Chen (Cornell): Extremal clustering under moderate long range dependence and subexponential tails.

Michael Conroy (Chapel Hill): Large deviation behavior of weakly interacting diffusions with vanishing noise

Sandro Gallo (Sao Carlos): Asymptotic properties of recurrence times

Han Gan (Waikato): Poisson-Dirichlet approximation for Wright-Fisher models with Stein's method

Robert Gaunt (Manchester): Algebraic Stein operators for Gaussian polynomials

Jimmy He (Stanford): A central limit theorem for descents of a Mallows permutation and its inverse

Eduardo Horta (Porto Alegre): A characterization of the strong law of large numbers for Bernoulli sequences

Kaushik Jana (London): Scoring Predictions at Extreme Quantiles

Marvin Kettner (Darmstadt): Persistence probabilities of autoregressive processes

Johannes Krebs (Braunschweig): Functional central limit theorems for persistent Betti numbers on cylindrical networks

Rodrigo Lambert (Uberlândia): Matching strings in encoded sequences

Lucas de Lima (Sao Paulo): Asymptotic shape theorem for the frog model on finitely generated abelian groups

Yin-Ting Liao (Brown): Large deviation principles for high-dimensional random vectors with applications to convex geometry and statistics

Qingwei Liu (Melbourne): On Moderate Deviation in Poisson Approximation

Dan Mikulincer (Weizmann): A Central Limit Theorem for Wishart Tensors

Fabien Montégut (Toulouse): Double asymptotic for random walks on hypercubes

Giang Nguyen (Adelaide): Rate of strong convergence to Markov-modulated Brownian motion

Alexandre Pannier (London): Large and moderate deviations for stochastic Volterra equations

Oscar Peralta (Adelaide): Rate of strong convergence to solutions of regime-switching stochastic differential equations

Amber Puha (San Marcos): Heavy Traffic Scaling Limits for Shortest Remaining Processing Time Queues with Heavy Tailed Processing Time Distributions

Huijie Qiao (Nanjing): Limit theorems of SDEs driven by Lévy processes and application to nonlinear filtering problems

Daniel Rosen (Bochum): Random convex hulls in non-Euclidean geometries

Tirza Routtenberg (Negev): New Cramer-Rao Lower Bound for Missing-Mass Estimation

Alexander Sakhanenko (Novosibirsk): First-passage times for random walks in the triangular array setting

William Salkeld (Edinburgh): The support of McKean-Vlasov equations

Johan Segers (Louvain): Empirical tail copulas for functional data

Matas Šileikis (Prague) & Lutz Wanke (Atlanta): Extreme local statistics in a random graph

Nahuel Soprano-Loto (Buenos Aires): Rank Dependent Branching-Selection Particle Systems

Bennet Ströh (Ulm): Central limit theorems for stationary random fields under weak dependence with application to mixed moving average fields

Gilles Stupfler (Rennes): On a relationship between randomly and non-randomly thresholded empirical average excesses for heavy tails

Yuki Ueda (Hagisho): Relations between additive and max-convolution semigroups in a view of limit theorems in free probability

Yizao Wang (Cincinnati): Phase transition for extremes of a stochastic volatility model with long-range dependence

Kouji Yano (Kyoto): Generalization of the arcsine laws for infinite ergodic transformations

Zhuosong Zhang (Singapore): Berry-Esseen bounds for multivariate nonliear statistics

Julia Ackermann (Gießen): Analysis of optimal trade execution for stochastic market depth and stochastic resilience

Ozan Evkaya (Leuven): Modeling asymmetric dependence pattern with directional dependence measures

Qi Feng (Los Angeles): Cubature method for rough volatility models

Len Patrick Dominic Garces (Adelaide): A Put-Call Transformation of the Exchange Option Problem under Stochastic Volatility and Jump-Diffusion Dynamics

Michele Giordano (Oslo): Lifting of Volterra processes: optimal control and HJB equations

Ying Jiao (Lyon): A branching process approach to financial modeling

Thijs Kamma (Maastricht): Closed-form Approximation to Optimal Investment Policies in Markets with Frictions

Yanyu Li (Tokio): Portfolio Insurance Strategies under Volatile Market

Andrea Meireles-Rodrigues (York): Reference Dependence and Endogenous Anchors

Kihun Nam (Melbourne): Global Well-posedness of Non-Markovian Multidimensional Superquadratic BSDE

Eyal Neumann (London): Optimal signal-adaptive trading with temporary and transient price impact

David Prömel (Mannheim): Martingale optimal transport duality

Benjamin Robinson (Bath): Optimal control of martingales in a radially symmetric environment

Manuel Schmid (Dresden): Distributional Properties of Continuous Time Processes: From CIR to Bates

Simone Scotti (Paris): The Alpha-Heston Stochastic Volatility Model

Julian Sester (Singapore): Robust statistical arbitrage strategies

Neset Ozkan Tan: A Lexicographical Order in Infinite Dimensional Banach Spaces

Tanut Treetanthiploet (Oxford): Gittins' Theorem under uncertainty aversion

Johannes Wiesel (Oxford): Robust uncertainty sensitivity analysis

Qikun Xiang (Singapore): Model-free bounds for multi-asset options using option-implied information and their exact computation

Alexander Kreiss (Leuven): Beta-mixing for processes on random time-varying networks

Carlos Améndola (Munich): Structure Learning for Cyclic Linear Causal Models

Noam Finkelstein (Baltimore): Deriving Bounds And Inequality Constraints Using Logical Relations Among Counterfactuals

Marianna Pensky (Orlando): Estimation and Clustering in Popularity Adjusted Stochastic Block Model

Suzanne Sigalla (Palaiseau): Improved clustering algorithms for the Bipartite Stochastic Block Model

Stefan Stein (Warwick): A Sparse Beta Model with Covariates

Tiandong Wang (College Station): A Directed Preferential Attachment Model with Poisson Measurement

Raphaël Berthier (Paris): Tight Nonparametric Convergence Rates for Stochastic Gradient Descent under the Noiseless Linear Model

Björn Böttcher (Dresden): Multivariate tests of independence and higher order dependence structures

Jacobo de Uña-Álvarez (Vigo): Efron-Petrosian integrals for doubly truncated data with covariates: an asymptotic analysis

Fabian Dunker (Canterbury): Tests for qualitative features in the random coefficients model

Stefan Franssen (Leiden): Empirical Bayesian uncertainty quantification using Deep Neural Network regression in Besov spaces

Stefan Franssen (Leiden): The Bernstein-von Mises theorem for the Pitman-Yor process of nonnegative type

Gery Geenens (Sydney): The Hellinger Correlation

Adam Kashlak (Alberta): Analytic Permutation Testing via Kahane--Khintchine Inequalities

Taeho Kim (Haifa): Adaptive Density Deconvolution Problem under General Assumptions on Error Distributions

Lihua Lei (Stanford): Hierarchical Community Detection For Heterogeneous and Multi-scaled Networks

Zhenhua Lin (Singapore): Intrinsic Riemannian functional data analysis

Mahdi Mahdizadeh (Sabzevar): A smooth reliability estimator in ranked set sampling

Alejandra Martínez (Lujan): M-estimators based on B-splines for partially linear additive models

Andrew McRae (Atlanta): Sample complexity and effective dimension for regression on manifolds

Emil Mendoza (Canterbury): Nonparametric Estimation of the Random Coefficients Model Using Regularized Maximum Likelihood

Gilles Mordant (Louvain): Multivariate Goodness-of-Fit Tests Based on Wasserstein Disatnce

Jonathan Niles-Weed (New York): Minimax estimation of smooth densities in Wasserstein distance

Tomasz Olma (Mannheim): Nonparametric Estimation of Truncated Conditional Expectation Functions

Christina Parpoula (Athens): A Distribution-Free Phase I Control Charting Technique for Individual Observations Based on Change-Point Analysis

Rohit Patra (Gainesville): Least Squares Estimation of a Monotone Quasiconvex Regression Function

Wanli Qiao (Fairfax): Asymptotic Confidence Regions for Density Ridges

Lyudmila Sakhanenko (East Lansing): Testing for no change in a time-dependent ensemble of integral curves

Usama Sattar (Islamabad): Performance of Non-Parametric Regression estimators in presence of skewed distribution

Masaya Takano (Montreal): Approximation Bounds for Conditional Expectation and Nonparametric Regression : Theory and Inference

Lasse Vuursteen (Leiden): Distributed nonparametric hypothesis testing with (very) limited communication

Guangxing Wang (Seattle): High Order Adjusted Block-wise Empirical Likelihood For Weakly Dependent Data

Wenkai Xu (London): A stein goodness-of-fit test for directional data

Zhuoran Yang: A Theoretical Analysis of Deep Q Learning

Yichuan Zhao (Atlanta): Empirical likelihood for the bivariate survival function under univariate censoring

Maxime Berger (Paris): The model of quasispecies

François Bienvenu (Montpellier): Revisiting Shao and Sokal's B2 index of phylogenetic balance

Florin Boenkost (Frankfurt): Haldane's formula in Cannings models: The case of moderately weak selection

Kiranmoy Chatterjee (Kolkata): A New Identifiable Capture-recapture Model for Estimating Population Size

Fernando Cordero (Bielefeld): Lambda-coalescents arising in population models with dormancy

Camille Coron (Paris): Weight of ancestors in a biparental model

Depperschmidt Andrej (Erlangen): Some aspects of tree-valued Feller diffusion

Félix Foutel-Rodier (Paris): From individual-based epidemic models to McKendrick-von Foerster PDEs, with applications to the COVID-19 epidemic in France

Wasiur KhudaBukhsh (Columbus): Incorporating age and delay into models for biophysical systems

Peter Jagers (Gothenburg): Galton and Watson were (almost) right: under natural conditions, populations die out

Fima Klebaner (Melbourne): On the establishment of a mutant

Aleksander Klimek (Leipzig): Rare subpopulations and superBrownian motion

Tobias Lehmann (Leipzig): Stochastic replicator dynamics as diffusion on the Aitchison simplex

Aline Marguet (Grenoble): On the fate of an infected cell line

Álvaro Mateos González (Shanghai): Stochastic Dynamics of Confined Microswimmers

Verónica Miró Pina (Mexico City): The Symmetric Coalescent and Wright-Fisher models with bottlenecks

Lizbeth Peñaloza Velasco (Mexico City): The shape of a seed bank tree

Cornelia Pokalyuk (Frankfurt): Haldane’s formula in Cannings models: The case of moderately strong selection

Gesine Reinert (Oxford): Modelling household epidemics on networks, with application to COVID-19

Sebastien Roch (Madison): Species tree estimation under incomplete lineage sorting and gene duplication

András Tóbiás (Berlin): Particle systems with coordination

Julie Tourniaire (Paris): Spatial dynamics of a population in an heterogeneous environment

Gajendra K. Vishwakarma (Dhanbad): A Resampling Approach of Feature Selection for Predicting Outcome

Lijun Wang (Hong Kong): Dynamic Programming for Multiple Object Tracking using Tripartite Matching

Adam Waterbury (Chapel Hill): Asymptotics of Quasi-Stationary Distributions of Small Noise Stochastic Dynamical Systems in Unbounded Domains

Maite Wilke Berenguer (Bochum): Coming down from infinity for the seed bank coalescent with spontaneous and simultaneous switching

Linden Yuan (College Park): Spectral gaps of indel models

Lucas Affonso (Sao Paulo): Phase Transition and Large Deviations in Long-Range Ising models

Tom Alberts (Salt Lake City): Conformal Field Theory for Multiple SLE

Yacine Aoun (Geneva): Sharp asymptotics of correlation functions in the subcritical long-range random-cluster and Potts models via OSSS inequality

Nikolay Barashkov (Bonn): A variational approach to Phi^4_3

Rodrigo Bissacot (Sao Paulo): Gibbs Measures: from probabilities to infinite measures. A phase transition which is invisible for the pressure.

Luísa Bürgel Borsato (Sao Paulo): A Dobrushin-Lanford-Ruelle theorem for irreducible sofic shifts

Sky Cao (Stanford): Wilson loop expectations for finite gauge groups

Benoit Dagallier (Palaiseau): Motion by curvature and large deviations for an interface dynamics on Z2

Francesco De Vecchi (Bonn): Grassmannian stochastic analysis and the stochastic quantization of Euclidean Fermions

Eric Endo (Shanghai): Metastates on 1D Long Range Ising Model with Random Boundary Condition

Hugo Falconet (New York): Volume of metric balls in Liouville quantum gravity

Nicolas Forien (Paris): A simple model of self-organized criticality in percolation

Pál Galicza (Budapest): Sparse Reconstruction of Transitive Function for the Ising Model

Ujan Gangopadhyay (Los Angeles): Transverse increments and long-range correlations in first passage percolation on two dimensional integer lattice

Hao Ge (Peking): Martingale structure for general thermodynamic functionals of diffusion processes under second-order averaging

Trishen Gunaratnam (Bath): Phase transitions for $\phi^4_3$

Ewain Gwynne (Cambridge): Tightness of supercritical Liouville first passage percolation

Ivailo Hartarsky (Paris): Fredrickson-Andersen model and bootstrap percolation

Frankie Higgs (Lancaster): Shy growth models have SLE scaling limits

Christian Hirsch (Groningen): Large deviations in quantum quasi-1D Coulomb systems

Antoine Jego (Vienna): Thickest points of random walk and critical Brownian multiplicative chaos

Stefan Junk (Kyoto): Subdiffusive scaling regime for one-dimensional Mott Variable-Range Hopping

Anton Klimovsky (Essen): Disordered systems with complex energies

Wai-Kit Lam (Minneapolis): Travel time to infinity in percolation

Claudio Landim (Rio): Metastable Behavior of reversible, Critical Zero-Range Processes

Thibaut Lemoine (Paris): Asymptotics of two-dimensional Yang--Mills partition functions

George Liddle (Lancaster): Scaling limits and fluctuations for random growth under capacity rescaling

Bernardo N. B. de Lima (Belo Horizonte): The Constrained-degree percolation model

Laure Marêché (Lausanne): Universality for kinetically constrained models

Vlad Margarint (Shanghai): Backward Bessel processes and applications to SLE

Martin Prigent (Bath): Noise sensitivity and exceptional times of transience for a simple symmetric random walk in one dimension

Sanjay Ramassamy (Saclay): Dimers and circle patterns

Alex Ramos (Pernambuco): Dynamic Aspects of the Flip-Annihilation Process

Thiago Raszeja (Sao Paulo): Thermodynamic Formalism on Generalized Configuration Spaces with Countable States

Guillaume Remy (New York): Integrability of boundary Liouville CFT

Leonardo Rolla (Warwick): Oriented percolation with modified boundaries

Lukas Schoug (Cambridge): Dimensions of the two-valued sets of the 2D GFF

Gabriel Stoltz (Paris): Hypocoercivity of Langevin-like dynamics with Schur complements

Alex Trindade (Lubbock): High order asymptotic expansions for classical likelihood-based statistics with application to testing for signal presence in particle physics experiments

Joonas Turunen (Reykjavík): Ising model on random planar triangulations of the half-plane

Lutz Warnke (Atlanta): The phase transition in the random d-process

Mo Dick Wong (Oxford): Tail universality of Gaussian multiplicative chaos

Jiaming Xia (Philadelphia): Hamilton-Jacobi equations for inference of matrix tensor products

Shangjie Yang (Rio): Metastability for expanding bubbles on a sticky substrate

Olivier Zindy (Paris): 2D discrete Gaussian free field: about the Gibbs measure

Luisa Andreis (Berlin): A large deviations approach to sparse random graphs

George Andriopoulos (Shanghai): Invariance Principle for Edge-Reinforced Random Walk on Size-conditioned Critical G-W Trees and the Localisation Phenomenon

Gabriel Baptista da Silva (Groningen): Graph constructions for the contact process with a prescribed critical rate

Rodrigo Bazaes (Santiago de Chile): Equality and difference of quenched and averaged large deviation rate functions for random walks in random environments without ballisticity

Jakob Björnberg (Gothenburg): Random colouring of residual allocations

Gilles Bonnet (Bochum): Weak convergence of the intersection point process of Poisson hyperplanes

Jacopo Borga (Zurich): Scaling and local limits of Baxter permutations and bipolar orientations through coalescent-walk processes

Benoit Corsini (Montreal): The Height of Mallows Trees

Stephen DeSalvo: Generating random integer partitions, quickly

Noah Forman (Hamilton): Projectively consistent tree-valued Markov chains and corresponding limit structures in the Aldous Diffusion

Nicolas Fraiman (Chapel Hill): Minimal Spanning Acycles of Random Complexes: Bulk and Extremes

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Anna Gusakova (Bochum): The Beta-Delaunay tessellation: description of the model and geometry of typical cells

Benjamin Hansen (Groningen): Voronoi percolation in the hyperbolic plane

Olivier Hénard (Paris): Parking on critical GW trees.

Tejas Iyer (Birmingham): Dynamical Models for Random Simplicial Complexes

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Johannes Alt (Geneva): Inhomogeneous Circular Law for Correlated Matrices

Morgane Austern (Microsoft NE): A free central-limit theorem for dynamical systems

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Volodymyr Vaskovych (Melbourne): On rate of convergence in non-central limit theorems for random fields

Lu Zhang (New York): Spatial Factor Modeling: A Bayesian Matrix-Normal Approach for Misaligned Data

Morgane Austern (Microsoft Research): Asymptotics of cross-validation

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Eddy Kwessi (San Antonio): Artificial neural networks with a signed-rank objective function and applications

Sophie Langer (Darmstadt): On the rate of convergence of fully connected deep neural network regression estimates

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Adel Mohammadpour (Teheran): Spatial clustering of heavy-tailed data using a similarity measure

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Carsten Chong (New York & Lausanne): High-frequency analysis of parabolic SPDEs

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Andrey Sarantsev (Reno): Concentration of measure for SPDE

Alexander Schmeding (Bergen): Stochastic Euler equations via geometry

Valentin Schmutz (Lausanne): Mean-field limit of Age and Leaky memory dependent Hawkes processes

Sunder Sethuraman (Tucson): SPDE hydrodynamic limit in Sinai-type random environments

Milica Tomasevic (Palaiseau): Quantitative convergence of stochastic particle systems with singular interacting potential

Guangqu Zheng (Lawrence): Averaging 2D stochastic wave equation

Eya Zougar (Monastir): Exact variation for stochastic heat equation with piecewise constant coefficients and application to parameter estimation

Charles-Edouard Bréhier (Lyon): On asymptotic-preserving schemes for some SDEs and SPDEs in the diffusion approximation regime

Mate Gerencser (Vienna): Approximation of SDEs with irregular drift - a stochastic sewing approach

Emmanuel Gobet (Paris): Sampling scheme for untractable copula function, application to the computation of tail events in factor copula model

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Thomas Kruse (Gießen): University Wasserstein convergence rates for random bit approximations of continuous Markov processes

Chaman Kumar (Roorkee): Explicit Milstein-type Scheme for Mckean-Vlasov Stochastic Differential Equations with Super-linear Coefficients

Tony Lelièvre (Palaiseau): Sampling measures supported on submanifolds

Samuel Livingstone (London): Robust and efficient gradient-based Markov chain Monte Carlo

Mariya Mamajiwala (London): Stochastic dynamical systems developed on Riemannian manifolds

Kerlyns Martinez (Valbonne): On the weak convergence rate of an exponential Euler scheme for SDEs governed by coefficients with superlinear growth

Annalena Mickel (Mannheim): Weak convergence rates of semi-exact discretization schemes for the Heston model

Andreas Neuenkirch (Mannheim): The Euler–Maruyama scheme for SDEs with irregular drift: convergence rates via reduction to a quadrature problem

Xiaolin Song (Osaka): Non-reversible guided Metropolis-Hastings kernel

Irene Tubikanec (Linz): Splitting methods for stochastic systems with locally Lipschitz drift. An illustration on the FitzHugh-Nagumo model

Mikhail Urusov (Essen): Functional limit theorems for approximating irregular SDEs, general diffusions and their exit times

Giorgos Vasdekis (Warwick): Speeding Up Zig-Zag

Jure Vogrinc (Warwick): Counterexamples for optimal scaling of Metropolis-Hastings chains with rough target densities

Andi Wang (Bristol): Regeneration-enriched Markov processes with application to Monte Carlo

Yue Wu (Oxford): Semi-implicit Taylor schemes for stiff rough differential equations

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Andrew Allan (Zurich): Robust stochastic filtering and propagation of uncertainty

Alexis Anagnostakis (Nancy): General diffusion processes as the limit of time-space Markov chains

Gerardo Barrera Vargas (Helsinki): An example of no-cutoff phenomenon for a non-hyperbolic random dynamical system

Nils Berglund (Orleans): An Eyring-Kramers law for periodically forced bistable systems

Michael Blank (Moscow): Recurrence for general Markov chains and semigroups of measurable maps

Micha Buck (Darmstadt): Persistence probabilities of fractional Gaussian sequences

Oleg Butkovsky (Berlin): Exponential ergodicity of order-preserving SPDEs in the hypoelliptic setting via new coupling techniques

Hong-Bin Chen (New York): Atypical Exit Events near a Repelling Equilibrium

Michele Coghi (Berlin): Pathwise McKean-Vlasov theory with additive noise

Andrea Collevecchio (Melbourne): One dimensional VRJP with strong reinforcement localizes on 3 points

Tianshu Cong (Melbourne): A large sample property in approximating the superposition of i.i.d. finite point processes

Cristina Costantini (Chieti): Reflecting diffusions in nonsmooth domains with varying directions of reflection: some uniqueness results

Nathaniel Eldredge (Greeley): Transportation duality and functional inequalities for Markov kernels

Lucio Galeati (Bonn): Noiseless regularisation by noise

Nicholas Georgiou (Durham): Deposition, diffusion, and nucleation on an interval

Iqra Altaf Gillani (Delhi): A Stochastic Process on a Network with Connections to Laplacian Systems of Equations

Jorge González Cázares (Warwick): The joint density of a stable process and its supremum: regularity and bounds

Arturo Jaramillo Gil (Luxembourg): High frequency statistics and local times for the fractional Brownian motion

Chenlin Gu (Paris): Decay of semigroup for an infinite interacting particle system on continuum configuration spaces

Paul Hager (Berlin): Unified cumulant signature and Magnus expansion

Tomoyuki Ichiba (Santa Barbara): Directed chain stochastic differential equations and stochastic control problems

Jessica Jay (Bristol): A blocking measure proof of Jacobi style identities

Martin Kilian (Darmstadt): Penalizing fractional Brownian motion for being negative

Yana Kinderknecht (Butko) (Braunschweig): Chernoff Approximation for Markov Processes

Helena Kremp (Berin): Multidimensional SDE with distributional drift and Lévy noise

Chong Liu (Oxford): Adapted topologies and higher rank signatures

Chak Hei Lo (Edinburgh): Cutpoints of non-homogeneous random walks

Avi Mayorcas (Oxford): Pathwise Regularisation of McKean-Vlasov Equations

Veno Mramor (Warwick): Lévy processes on a manifold with a connection

David Oechsler (Dresden): A representation for the q-scale functions of spectrally negative compound Poisson processes

Peter Pfaffelhuber (Freiburg): Existence of solutions of martingale problems using duality

Mouad Ramil (Paris): Langevin processes in bounded-in-position domains: application to quasi-stationary distributions

Tsogzolmaa Saizmaa (Bath): Attraction to and repulsion from a subset of the unit sphere for isotropic stable Lévy processes

Raimundo Saona (Klosterneuburg): The Complexity of POMDPs with Long-run Average Objectives

Rohan Sarkar (Ithaca): Gateway between spectrally negative self-similar Markov processes and a class of upward skip-free Markov chains

Apostolos Sideris (Dresden): Exponential functionals of Markov additive processes

Mackenzie Simper (Stanford): Random additions in an urn of integers

Hermann Thorisson (Reykjavík): Convergence in Density and the Skorokhod Representation

Alexander Veretennikov (Leeds): On strong uniqueness for McKean - Vlasov equations

Andrew Wade (Durham): Reflecting random walks in curvilinear wedges

Kosuke Yamato (Kyoto): Fluctuation scaling limits for positive recurrent jumping-in diffusions with small jumps

Kevin Yang (Stanford): KPZ Equation from Long-Range Exclusion Processes

Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko (Oslos): Sandwiched processes driven by Hölder noises

Nazmul Ahsan (Montreal): High-frequency instruments and identification-robust inference for stochastic volatility models

Sajid Ali (Islamabad): Most Recent Changepoint Detection in Censored Panel Data

Iyabode Favour Oyenuga (Ibadan): Variations in Seasonality of Number of Patients Enrollment at the Adult ART Clinic: A COSINOR Model Approach

Leonid Fedorov (Tübingen): Casting multivariate brain time series into topological inference

Sayani Gupta (Melbourne): Visualizing probability distributions across bivariate cyclic temporal granularities

Martin Emil Jakobsen (Copenhagen): Distributional Robustness of K-class estimators and the PULSE

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Claudia Kirch (Magdeburg): Data segmentation based on moving sum statistics

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Jonas Krampe (Mannheim): Impulse Response Analysis for Sparse High-Dimensional Time Series

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Matthieu Marbac (Bruz): Wilks’ theorem for semiparametric regressions with weakly dependent data

Luca Margaritella (Maastricht): Inference in Non-stationary High-Dimensional VARs

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Mahdi Salehi (Neyshabur, Pretoria): A synergetic R-Shiny dashboard for modeling and visualizing of COVID-19 demographic information

Ismal Shah (Islamabad): Forecasting of electricity price through a functional prediction of sale and purchase curves

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Nikolas Tapia (Berlin): Time warping invariants of multidimensional time series and quasi-symmetric functions

Carlos Trucios (Sao Paulo): Forecasting Conditional Covariance Matrices in High-Dimensional Time Series: a General Dynamic Factor Approach